Iran warns it will “determine the end of the war” if U.S. and Israeli strikes continue

Iran’s leadership is openly threatening to seize control of both the battlefield timetable and global energy flows, warning that it will decide when the current war ends if United States and Israeli strikes do not stop. The message ties Iran’s military response directly to an oil blockade, raising the stakes for a conflict that is already shaking markets and drawing in regional actors.

The declaration signals that Tehran now sees energy disruption not as a side effect of war but as a deliberate instrument, betting that the world’s dependence on Gulf crude will translate into leverage over Washington and Jerusalem.

Iran’s Revolutionary Guards escalate the stakes

Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps has stated that it will determine the end of the war if United States and Israeli attacks continue and that it will not allow any oil to leave the region while the strikes persist, according to detailed accounts of the latest oil blockade threat. The Guards have framed this as a direct response to the bombing of Iranian territory and assets.

A separate report on the same warning notes that Iran’s Revolutionary Guards vowed that they would decide the war’s endpoint and that Tehran would not permit the export of even one litre of oil if United States and Israeli strikes continue, making clear that the threat covers every tanker route out of the Gulf and nearby waters as long as the campaign goes on, according to Tehran’s hard line.

Iranian lawmaker Mohammad Saleh Jokar has gone further, expressing hope that the confrontation becomes a ground conflict so that American soldiers are killed and arguing that diplomacy is no longer enough, according to an Iranian social media. That rhetoric suggests that influential figures in Tehran view escalation, not de-escalation, as the path to leverage.

Live coverage of the conflict has described Iranian officials insisting that they will not allow the export of a single liter of oil and that they will decide when hostilities end, while also portraying Iran’s powerful Islam based system as under direct attack from the air campaign, according to recent battlefield summaries. That framing turns the conflict into a struggle over the survival of Iran’s clerical leadership as well as its regional influence.

Trump, Israel and the threat of a wider oil war

United States President Donald Trump has answered the oil threat with a promise of overwhelming retaliation, saying that if Iran stops the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the United States will hit Iran twenty times harder, according to a live account of. He has also said that the war with Iran will end very soon, even as benchmark oil prices have swung sharply in response to his comments, as described in market focused coverage.

Another detailed briefing quotes Trump promising that United States forces will hit Iran so hard that it will not be possible for Iran or anybody else helping Iran to ever recover that section of the world, a statement that came as he commented again on how soon the war could end, according to a regional dispatch. Taken together, those remarks suggest a strategy of threatening massive escalation in order to deter any Iranian move to fully close energy chokepoints.

United States military planners are already treating the conflict as a high intensity campaign. One running update has quoted Pete Hegseth predicting the most intense day of strikes so far, while also reporting that some insurers have canceled war risk coverage for tankers as the oil crisis deepens, according to a United States focused. The loss of that coverage adds another layer of pressure on commercial shipping even before any formal Iranian blockade is enforced.

Israel, for its part, has signaled that it views the fight with Iran as a long term campaign against the country’s leadership as well as its proxies. Earlier this month Israel targeted a building associated with Iran’s Assembly of Experts, the body that selects the new supreme leader, and Israel’s Defence Minister Israel Katz wrote that every leader appointed by the Assembly of Experts will be a target for elimination, according to detailed accounts from. That stance effectively personalizes the conflict around whoever sits at the apex of Iran’s political system.

Inside Iran, the leadership question has already been answered. Iran’s Assembly of Experts has appointed Mojtaba Khamenei, the son of slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, as Iran’s new supreme leader, keeping the Khamenei family at the center of Iran’s power structure, according to briefing on the. That choice reinforces the perception in Israel that any successor is a legitimate military target, and it may also harden Tehran’s resolve to show that external pressure cannot dictate its internal arrangements.

The war has already hit Iran’s own energy infrastructure. Video and eyewitness reporting describe Tehran oil sites on fire as Iran exchanges strikes with Israel and the United States, and Iranian officials have threatened retaliatory attacks on oil facilities across the Gulf if their country’s energy network continues to be targeted, according to coverage from Tehran. That tit for tat risk to refineries, export terminals and pipelines on both sides of the Gulf makes the threat to halt all regional oil exports more than rhetorical.

Regional military reporting has also documented how Israeli strikes have hit missile launch sites and other facilities linked to Iran, while Gulf states such as the United Arab Emirates track the fallout and adjust their own defenses, according to a detailed Iran Update Evening. That pattern underlines how quickly any attempt by Tehran to close the Strait of Hormuz could draw retaliatory strikes on Iranian ports and energy infrastructure, as well as potentially on assets in neighboring states.

Global markets are already reacting to the rhetoric and the risk of real disruption. Live financial coverage has tracked how benchmark oil prices have moved as traders parse Trump’s claims that the war will end very soon and his threats to respond with death, fire and fury if Iran blocks the flow of oil, while also cataloging the knock on effects for shipping, insurance and stock indices, according to running market analysis. The combination of Iranian vows to halt exports and United States promises of overwhelming force has created a volatile feedback loop between politics and prices.

On the ground, the humanitarian and economic costs are mounting. One live news feed has followed the fighting across multiple fronts, the strikes on Iranian cities and the anxiety in regional capitals as leaders weigh the risk that an oil blockade could trigger both a deeper military confrontation and a global recession, according to extensive live reporting. That same coverage has highlighted how quickly local crises, such as fires at refineries or missile attacks on ports, can ripple through energy markets and diplomatic channels.

The Iranian leadership appears to be calculating that the threat to energy flows will force outside powers to pressure Washington and Jerusalem to limit or halt their strikes. At the same time, Trump’s repeated insistence that the United States will hit Iran twenty times harder if Tehran stops the flow of oil through the Strait of Hormuz, echoed in several regional accounts, suggests that Washington is equally determined not to allow energy blackmail to succeed.

For now, Iran’s assertion that it will decide when the war ends and that it will not allow even one litre of oil to be exported if the attacks continue remains a threat rather than a fully realized policy. Yet with Tehran oil sites already burning, Israeli strikes hitting targets linked to Iran’s Assembly of Experts, and United States officials forecasting the most intense day of bombing so far, the gap between rhetoric and reality is narrowing quickly.

Like Fix It Homestead’s content? Be sure to follow us.

Here’s more from us:

• I made Joanna Gaines’s Friendsgiving casserole and here is what I would keep
• Pump Shotguns That Jam the Moment You Actually Need Them
• The First 5 Things Guests Notice About Your Living Room at Christmas
• What Caliber Works Best for Groundhogs, Armadillos, and Other Digging Pests?
• Rifles worth keeping by the back door on any rural property

*This article was developed with AI-powered tools and has been carefully reviewed by our editors.